Executive Summary
Citation: GSO & IMF, 2025
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Vietnam's economy shows robust momentum in H1 2025 — GDP grew 7.52% (H1) and 7.96% in Q2 year-on-year, supported by services, manufacturing and strong FDI inflows.
Key takeaways: low unemployment (2.2% Q1), controlled inflation (~3.5% mid-2025), FDI expansion (21.51B H1), and retail rebound (Q1 retail sales up 9.9%). Government targets remain ambitious compared to multilateral forecasts1.
7.52%
GDP growth (H1 2025)
7.96%
GDP growth (Q2 2025 YoY)
2.20%
Unemployment (Q1 2025)
$21.51B
FDI (H1 2025)
Methodology
This interactive report consolidates official statistics (GSO), multilateral forecasts (IMF, World Bank, ADB) and market data (Trading Economics). Visualizations are built with responsive SVG and accessible interactions. All figures include citation markers linking to the reference list.
Processing: numbers were harmonized to quarter/year aggregates; FDI is presented per published reporting periods (first 5 months / H1), forecasts are shown for comparative context.
Key Indicators
Historical Q1 GDP Growth (2020–2025)
YoY Q1 Growth (%)
Data: GSO / IMF / Trading Economics4
2025 Growth — Q1, Q2, H1
Actual growth (%)
Q2 figure is YoY
2025 Growth Forecasts (Institutions)
Forecast (%)
Sources: World Bank, ADB, IMF, Government targets2
Key Indicators Table
0%
| Indicator | Value | Period | Source |
|---|
Sectoral Analysis
Estimated Sector Contributions to GDP (2025)
Retail & Banking Snapshot
1.708 Q VND
Retail sales (Q1 2025) — 9.9% YoY
US$66.83B
+17%
Bank earnings projected (2025)
Credit +15%
Sector shares are illustrative, derived from report narrative and public estimates12.
Challenges & Risk Factors
Mitigation strategies: diversify export markets, strengthen domestic demand, maintain macro stability and fiscal buffers.
Historical Comparison & Outlook
Year-on-year Q1 GDP growth 2020–2025: 3.21%, 4.85%, 5.42%, 3.46%, 5.98%, 6.93% (2025 preliminary) — demonstrates recovery trajectory since 2020 shocks1.
Scenario Outlook — Baseline vs Downside
Baseline
Downside
Appendices & Data
Quick Data Preview
Sources & Citations
- Trading Economics - Vietnam GDP Annual Growth Rate
- International Monetary Fund - Vietnam Country Profile
- Government of Vietnam - General Statistics Office (GSO)
- Vietnam Investment Review - FDI Statistics
- Asian Development Bank - Vietnam
- World Economics - Vietnam GDP Estimates
- Vietnam Briefing
- IMF - Article IV Mission Reports